Domestic Market Updates
Track Australian dairy market updates for some of the latest developments in production, trade and retail sales.
Warm, Dry Spring Ahead
The Bureau of Meteorology released its Spring climate and weather outlook. Below average rainfall is expected through September, but this will shift as Spring progresses. Above average rainfall is forecast for much of the western half of Australia, while parts of the...
July Retail Sales Above Expectations
Australian retail turnover reached $39.13bn in July, a 6.6% YOY increase, an 8-month high and well-above long-term trends. The positive results likely reflect good weather for the month and were helped by the FIFA World Cup. Total food sales reached $15.38bn, up 5.5%...
Australian Inflation Remains Sticky
Australian headline inflation eased to 3.5% in July from 3.8% in June, coming in above economists’ expectations. Underlying inflation remains high at +3.6% annually, while the monthly trimmed mean rose 0.5%, increasing concerns that inflation is not returning quickly...
Bega Reports Strong Dairy Sales in FY26
Bega Group reported FY26 statutory EBITDA of $202.3m, up 22%, while normalised EBITDA increased 12% to $225.6m. Branded EBITDA rose 8% to $220.7m. This was supported by strong yoghurt, milk beverage and white milk volumes, growing demand for high-protein and ‘better...
Consumer Sentiment Improves
Australian consumer sentiment improved 6% to 88.9 in August, following the RBA’s decision to hold interest rates. The strongest improvement was among mortgage holders. However, sentiment remains firmly pessimistic and below last year’s levels, with ongoing economic...
Rabo: Dairy Must Focus on Maximising Value
In its newly released report on milk protein scarcity, RaboResearch says the Australian dairy industry must increasingly focus on maximising value from scarce milk protein. With limited milk supply, future export growth is likely to shift its focus to higher-value,...
Australian Exports Down in 2025-26
exports rose 10.2% YOY in June but declined 4.3% YOY across the full season. Cheese exports rose 11.3% YOY but were down 1.6% over the full season, reflecting a 25.9% YOY decline (17,596t) in shipments to Japan. Following three consecutive monthly declines, SMP...
Cow Culling Declines
Saleyard transactions of dairy cow culls, as reported by the National Livestock Reporting Service (NLRS), were flat YOY in the 2025/26 season (July-June). July-26 alone declined 27% YOY, the fourth consecutive monthly fall as farmers were incentivized to retain cow...
Woolworths Discontinues Farmer’s Own Brand
Woolworths is phasing out its Farmers’ Own milk brand, with the product already withdrawn from South Australian stores and set to disappear from stores in NSW, Queensland, Victoria and WA by mid-2027 as supplier contracts expire. Farmers supplying the brand are being...
Aussie Dollar Jumps Higher
The Australian dollar spiked in value by 0.67% toward the end of last week to its highest weekly close in seven weeks. While the war in Iran has weighed heavily on the global economy, news that the US Treasury had jointly intervened with Japan to prop up the yen for...
